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| 09.28.2009 |
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Aircraft Asset Assessment
The B747-400 Market Presence. The B747-400 still represents the core of many major carriers fleets around the world. Performance, economy and capacity have, until recently, been unmatched and had become the baseline by which all other types are judged. In...
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| 09.28.2009 |
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Residuals of A320 & B737NG Families May Benefit from Delay to Replacement
Airbus’s John Leahy has signaled that an all new replacement for the A320 family will not likely arrive until 2024, at least one powered by a new engine. This would be good news for the residual values of the thousands of A320 and B737NG family members...
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| 09.14.2009 |
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IN THIS ISSUE: AVN’S SEMI-ANNUAL TURBOPROP VALUE LISTING
Shifting Demand Patterns Aid Lease Rentals but Increases Risk Second Tier Operators Take Up Slack as Majors Continue to Contract The rate of fall in lease rentals has slowed slightly in the last few months but partly by virtue of some aircraft being leased to...
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| 09.14.2009 |
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“Majority of the world’s freighter fleets will have to be permanently grounded” - Lufthansa
Despite the apparent marginal improvement in the economy of some countries, reportedly Lufthansa has indicated that should the current market conditions persist for any length of time then the “majority of the world’s freighter fleet will have to be...
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| 09.14.2009 |
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Turboprop Values Experience Continued Weakness
While the turboprop market is faring better than the jet sector, there can be little expectation that values should be rising. The combination of a global recession and limited availability of finance has inevitably impacted demand for all aircraft, including...
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| 08.31.2009 |
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Storage & Availability Levels Continue to Undermine Values
Rising Tide of Younger Examples Will Take Time to be Reabsorbed Values and lease rentals continue to be under pressure and the rise in the number of aircraft in storage and being advertised for sale or lease will only serve to undermine any prospect of...
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| 08.31.2009 |
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Rising Capacity Will Take Time to Translate into Higher Lease Rentals
The latest capacity and frequency figures may show a slowdown in the rate of decline but for lease rentals to show any improvement will require much greater improvement over a sustained period. Lease rentals for modern narrow and widebodies have fallen by...
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| 08.31.2009 |
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Freighter Values Continue to Suffer
Values of freighters continue to decline as the demand for airfreight withers in the face of sustained global recession. The first green shoots are recovery in some sectors and countries, with even the prospect of a sharper than expected improvement in the...
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| 08.31.2009 |
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Turboprop Rentals Falter
The turboprop sector may not be experiencing the severe problems as the jet sector but lower costs are also not providing a defense against the ravages of the global recession. Manufacturers have to work harder to secure new orders. The ageing nature of the...
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| 08.31.2009 |
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Older & 50 Seaters Face Difficult Times
There can be no escaping the little appetite for 50 seat regional jets when availability continues to creep upwards. The values of the 50 seaters have continued to experience considerable problems in the face of the loss of traffic and contraction of...
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| 08.31.2009 |
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B737-500 Values Experience Substantive Decline
The values of the -500, in common with other members of the B737 Classic family, have experienced a considerable decline over the course of the last eighteen months. The introduction of new larger regional jets as well as a changing structure and ageing...
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| 08.31.2009 |
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Aircraft Asset Assessment
The B737-500 Market Presence. The -500 has a limited market presence. There are currently 18 -500s being advertised for sale or lease. Though five percent of the fleet is being advertised, relatively limited availability is no justification for assuming that...
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| 08.31.2009 |
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B767-300ER Rentals Continue to Falter Despite B787 Delay
The continued difficulty in securing high yielding traffic is causing operators to lay up surplus widebodies, including the once ubiquitous B767-300ER. The catastrophic and potentially long term, decline in high yielding traffic is helping to turn the classic...
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| 08.17.2009 |
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Lease Rates Continue To Decline
Lessors Chasing Fewer Lessees Lease rates of most aircraft types continue to decline in the face of weakening demand and rising availability. Earlier in the year, lease rates of aircraft of the A320 and B737NG families had fallen by some 20 percent. This...
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| 08.17.2009 |
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Asking Prices Become More Realistic
Asking prices for used aircraft have at last become much more realistic in response to the continuing deterioration in the market. A 1991 A300-600R is being offered at $11 million fresh a C check. This price is slightly higher than the current market value of...
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| 08.17.2009 |
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Mexicana Disposal Highlights Limited Value of Early A320s
The displacement of early A320s in favor newer models is continuing as Mexicana appoints Jetscape, Florida, to remarket 10 V2500-A1 powered examples. The 10 Mexicana aircraft were built early in the life of the A320. The V2500-A1 engine is the less desirable...
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| 08.17.2009 |
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Rates for Older Widebodies Continue to Fall
The move by airlines to dispose of older widebodies continues as greater use of newer and more efficient equipment is sought. The international sector is continuing to experience the severe difficulties in view of the loss of high yielding business traffic...
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| 08.17.2009 |
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Values Keep on Falling
Finding green shoots of recovery may have become the new craze for politicians but for aviation, the focus is on survival. While the international sector, and therefore widebodies, is facing very tough times the regional and domestic markets are also...
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| 08.17.2009 |
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Older A320 Values Face Tough Times
Despite the still substantial backlog for the A320, the combination of the length of production and incremental improvement over the years is becoming an increasing. The events post 2001 amply illustrated the potential problems that can occur with another...
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| 08.17.2009 |
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Aircraft Asset Assessment
The A320 Market Presence. With 162 operators the A320 enjoys an established base which is just as strong as any Boeing product. The large number of orders placed by the lessors underlines the faith in medium term residuals and lease rentals. The ability of...
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